Polymarket Trader

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0x689a1891c8ffce8cad590bfe48f3a14b40c7012e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $41.55
Realized PnL: $66.7
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $18.22
Potential payout: $18.5
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $14.91
Potential payout: $17.44
Potential profit: $2.53
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $6.46
Potential payout: $7.05
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.49

Under position

Sonmez vs. Bejlek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $3.92
Potential profit: $1.96
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.56

Yes position

Will AZ win on 2026-03-19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74

France position

Spread: France (-2.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.74

Liudmila Samsonova position

Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Liudmila Samsonova

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $2.86

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $2.81

Over position

Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 6.5 Corners

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Will Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Over position

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

No position

Will US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Ursa position

Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

No position

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Novak Djokovic position

BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Kamil Majchrzak

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Racing Club de Lens vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Over position

US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 83% 13.35 shares
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 82.7% 5.15 shares
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 86% 17.44 shares
Sonmez vs. Bejlek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Under 50% 3.92 shares
Zeynep Sonmez vs. Sara Bejlek: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Over 2.5 50% 19.2 shares
Spread: France (-2.5)

France 91% 10.69 shares
Spread: France (-2.5)

France 56% 10.7 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 18% 22.17 shares
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)

Ecuador 60% 16.65 shares
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Paula Badosa vs Sinja Kraus

Sinja Kraus 50% 7.68 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 46% 13.02 shares
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

No 97.3% 15.42 shares