No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $381.48
- Potential payout
- $408
- Potential profit
- $26.52
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $177.48
Polymarket Trader
Fernando4217.
0x68a8269a7bb4791c5daf8d38c27fc6c13a312698
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $408
- Realized PnL
- $264.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $26.52
- Potential payout
- $408
- Potential profit
- $381.48
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$177.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.86
- Potential profit
- $214.86
- User PnL
- -$116.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.95
- Potential profit
- $117.95
- User PnL
- -$57.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.06
- Potential profit
- $70.06
- User PnL
- -$28.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.32
- Potential profit
- $34.32
- User PnL
- -$14.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.93
- Potential profit
- $16.93
- User PnL
- -$4.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.99
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 49°F or below on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C or below on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on June 26?No 99.2% 9.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on June 26?No 99.4% 9.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C or below on June 26?No 99.5% 9.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C or higher on June 26?No 99.7% 9.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 25?No 99.9% 9.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on June 26?No 99.9% 9.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on June 26?No 99.7% 9.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 23?Yes 99.8% 9.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 40°C on June 24?No 99.9% 9.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 24?No 99.9% 9.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 24?No 99.9% 9.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?Yes 99.8% 9.52 shares