OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $49.2
- Potential payout
- $328
- Potential profit
- $278.8
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$82
Polymarket Trader
ChristopherMadden8328
0x68ba4f7175508d754245d042ed3f435f78550e6a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.83
- Realized PnL
- $4.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Partizan position
Partizan vs. BC Dubai
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $698.88
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Epstein" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $557.35
Yes position
Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $525.35
Yes position
Will Christian Menefee win the Texas House special election runoff by 15% or more?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.41
Yes position
Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.8
No position
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.07
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.29
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.25
Under position
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.16
Yes position
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.66
Yes position
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $110.48
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.16
No position
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.71
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 6PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.57
Yes position
Will Trump post "Jake Paul" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $98.5
No position
Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.43
No position
Will "Google" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.75
Yes position
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $68.31
Yes position
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-07?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.54
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.43
Yes position
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $49.72
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $41.36
Yes position
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $40.58
Yes position
Will Trump say "Prince Mohammed" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No 72% 128 shares
- Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No 72% 138 shares
- Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No 72% 270 shares
- Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No 73% 536 shares
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No 88% 458 shares
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No 88% 458 shares
- Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?No 7% 117 shares
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No 50.1% 216 shares
- Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?No 7% 189 shares
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No 79.2% 216 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes 17% 132 shares
- Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?No 55% 457 shares