Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $500K
- Potential profit
- $498.75K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $250
Polymarket Trader
mombil
@mombil
0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $349.15K
- Realized PnL
- $436.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $21.86K
- Potential payout
- $257.16K
- Potential profit
- $235.3K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$35.34K
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $10.39K
- Potential payout
- $244.45K
- Potential profit
- $234.06K
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $985.37
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $42.93K
- Potential payout
- $180K
- Potential profit
- $137.07K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- -$47.07K
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.2%
- Current value
- $137.07K
- Potential payout
- $180K
- Potential profit
- $42.93K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $47.07K
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $148.72K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$704.85
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.49K
- Potential payout
- $101.72K
- Potential profit
- $99.23K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $421.03
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $41.38
- Potential payout
- $82.76K
- Potential profit
- $82.72K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$175.12
Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $651.93
- Potential payout
- $62.09K
- Potential profit
- $61.44K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $253.82
Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $426.49
- Potential payout
- $56.87K
- Potential profit
- $56.44K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$411.94
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $51.84K
- Potential payout
- $55K
- Potential profit
- $3.16K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.74K
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $4.98K
- Potential payout
- $55K
- Potential profit
- $50.02K
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- $527.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $25.42K
- Potential payout
- $52.41K
- Potential profit
- $26.99K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $7.29K
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $2.94K
- Potential payout
- $50.33K
- Potential profit
- $47.39K
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $377.09
Yes position
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $325
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.68K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $48.77K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $425
Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $225
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.77K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $636.94
- Potential payout
- $41.09K
- Potential profit
- $40.46K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$149.17
Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $306.5
- Potential payout
- $40.87K
- Potential profit
- $40.56K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$20.43
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $7.31K
- Potential payout
- $40.08K
- Potential profit
- $32.76K
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- $133.14
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $18.44
- Potential payout
- $36.87K
- Potential profit
- $36.85K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.04K
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $416.66
- Potential payout
- $33.33K
- Potential profit
- $32.92K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $16.67
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $32.12K
- Potential payout
- $32.2K
- Potential profit
- $80.51
- User PnL
- $9.91K
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $2.99K
- Potential payout
- $31.02K
- Potential profit
- $28.03K
- Multiplier
- 10.36x
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.73K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.62K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.93K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27K
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.97K
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.42K
No position
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.13K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.78K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.9K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.36K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.7K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.3K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.01K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.19K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.45K
Yes position
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.38K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.3K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.17K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.16K
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.87K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.64K
Yes position
India x Pakistan ceasefire announced before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.33K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.92K
Yes position
Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.27K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 50.2% 1,076.06 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 74% 209.69 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 74.2% 141.44 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Yes 53% 500 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 81.6% 917.1 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 77.5% 3,705.05 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 88.8% 153.8 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 10.8% 133.3 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No 6% 1,444.55 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 27.4% 1,667.72 shares
- Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 75.6% 122.4 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 76% 9 shares