No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $416.03
- Potential payout
- $510.53
- Potential profit
- $94.5
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$7.15
Polymarket Trader
wtf111
0x68c87cf1a8186a7bbc4ad80fe340ab5c6baab100
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $416.03
- Realized PnL
- $384.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.89
- Potential profit
- $63.89
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.79
- Potential profit
- $32.79
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-05?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.42
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.86
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.92
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.96
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.52
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.92
Yes position
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.57
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.57
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.52
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 29?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.87
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.12
No position
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-14?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
No position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.16
Yes position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.06
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.65
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.11
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $5.22
No position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $2.59
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 75% 62.88 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 75% 64.14 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 84% 511.79 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?No 24.6% 166.11 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?No 30.1% 166.11 shares
- Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?Yes 15.7% 113.23 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 9% 160.25 shares
- Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?Yes 44.2% 113.24 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 9% 100 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 9% 10 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 19% 219.19 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes 88% 135.13 shares