Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.62K
- Potential profit
- $2.62K
- User PnL
- -$112.06
Polymarket Trader
drorch
0x68dbed42912551cbffcd15ff758ef62781ad44f0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.3
- Realized PnL
- $2.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $926.14
- Potential profit
- $926.14
- User PnL
- -$775.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $751.83
- Potential profit
- $751.83
- User PnL
- -$18.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $599.69
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$450
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $497.5
- Potential profit
- $497.5
- User PnL
- -$447.75
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $489
- Potential profit
- $489
- User PnL
- -$462.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $487.63
- Potential profit
- $487.63
- User PnL
- -$28.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $469.95
- Potential profit
- $469.95
- User PnL
- -$343.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $467.16
- Potential profit
- $467.16
- User PnL
- -$416.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $405.63
- Potential profit
- $405.63
- User PnL
- -$384.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $405
- Potential profit
- $405
- User PnL
- -$3.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $373
- Potential profit
- $373
- User PnL
- -$354.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $352.17
- Potential profit
- $352.17
- User PnL
- -$277.46
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $324.34
- Potential profit
- $324.34
- User PnL
- -$217.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.73
- Potential profit
- $312.73
- User PnL
- -$24.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.98
- Potential profit
- $299.98
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $289.2
- Potential profit
- $289.2
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $258
- Potential profit
- $258
- User PnL
- -$12.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $215.75
- Potential profit
- $215.75
- User PnL
- -$154.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.61
- Potential profit
- $214.61
- User PnL
- -$187.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$160
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 18?No 99.9% 540.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 18?No 99.9% 868.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 18?No 99.9% 742.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 18?No 91.2% 56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 18?No 95.2% 42.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 18?No 94.3% 17.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 18?No 99.9% 123.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 18?Yes 22% 42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 18?No 99.9% 210.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?Yes 11.4% 65.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 18?No 95.3% 46.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 18?No 94.6% 47.4 shares