No position
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$15.52
Polymarket Trader
Amarad2
0x68e5c4f32d8487dec09dea529ea5ee3f0fb112ee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $15.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in January?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in January?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will MrBeast's video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 5?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Man I Need by Olivia Dean be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Greczula win Melodifestivalen 2026?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Heather McPherson win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes 99% 20 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes 97% 20 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 4?Yes 99.9% 30 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?No 99.9% 17 shares
- Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?No 99.9% 18 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 99.3% 20 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 97% 20 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 16?No 99.9% 35 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?Yes 99.9% 18 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?Yes 97% 18 shares
- Will Apple announce the iPhone 18 during the WWDC 2026 keynote?No 99% 17 shares
- Will Apple announce the iPhone 18 during the WWDC 2026 keynote?No 98% 17 shares