Polymarket Trader

stapler0619

0x68ff58113e14daad7037e274e900ff433ba4ec42

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $68.07
Realized PnL: -$2.43
Win rate: 46.7%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $469.77
Potential profit: $469.77
User PnL: -$9.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.68
Potential profit: $402.68
User PnL: -$15.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $362.82
Potential profit: $362.82
User PnL: -$7.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.67
Potential profit: $259.67
User PnL: -$9.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $9.06
Potential payout: $179.47
Potential profit: $170.41
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $4.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $139.86
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $4.33
Potential payout: $85.79
Potential profit: $81.46
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $79.48
Potential profit: $78.21
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $10.43
Potential payout: $48.53
Potential profit: $38.1
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $5.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.28

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $3.73
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.53
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $3.78
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $1.23
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $1.88
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.93

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $1.08
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $4.03
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 59% 2.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 46% 2.2 shares