No position
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $11.43
- Potential payout
- $11.88
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.43
Polymarket Trader
oa75bwsnyla9
0x6901bfff1dd84816092f67f826c51dc556178d9d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.71
- Realized PnL
- -$18.1
- Win rate
- 43.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $3.28
- Potential payout
- $6.24
- Potential profit
- $2.96
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 25?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Don Toliver have a #1 hit in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Ramp IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.99
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.61
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.43
No position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ramp IPO before 2027?No 84% 2.65 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No 74% 5.23 shares
- Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes 94% 3.22 shares
- Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 25?Yes 94% 3.18 shares
- Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 25?Yes 94% 3.18 shares
- Will Don Toliver have a #1 hit in April?No 94% 3.19 shares
- Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes 93% 3.23 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 36% 1.72 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 92% 2.77 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 93% 3.12 shares
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No 86% 3.44 shares
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?No 95.4% 3.14 shares