No position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.29K
- Potential profit
- $9.29K
- User PnL
- -$128.79
Polymarket Trader
ohwell
0x69026a45418ad2440911d95beb1deacc739d678c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.22K
- Realized PnL
- $44.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $5.03K
- Potential payout
- $8.75K
- Potential profit
- $3.72K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$533.58
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.22K
- Potential profit
- $6.22K
- User PnL
- -$68.44
Yes position
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $5.69
- Potential payout
- $3.79K
- Potential profit
- $3.79K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$13.27
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $870.19
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$60.19
Yes position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $56.9
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$32.11
No position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$96
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$21.09
No position
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$194.04
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$52
No position
50% India tariff in effect by August 27?
Ends Aug 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$105
No position
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $964.88
- Potential profit
- $964.88
- User PnL
- -$747.79
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$296
Yes position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $672.59
- Potential profit
- $672.59
- User PnL
- -$110.39
No position
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 55% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$275
No position
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$55
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $173.9
- Potential profit
- $173.9
- User PnL
- -$109.56
No position
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$90
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed rate cut by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.46K
No position
Fed rate cut by June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.83K
Yes position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.87K
No position
Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56K
Yes position
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
No position
Fed rate cut by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
Yes position
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
Will Trump post 50 or more times this week?
Ends Aug 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
No position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will Kamala say "border" 5 or more times at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March?
Ends Feb 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot?
Ends Mar 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
RFK Jr. endorses Trump before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $934.28
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $907.16
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $887.66
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $884.74
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $874.07
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $739.99
No position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $720.82
Yes position
Will Trump post 11-15 times this week?
Ends Aug 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $707.77
Vance position
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $694.96
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $687.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 23, 2026?No 11% 500 shares
- Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes 6.7% 824.02 shares
- Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes 6.6% 504.33 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?No 8% 1,200 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.2% 1,000 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No 73.8% 1,000 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 57% 500 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 46.5% 500 shares
- Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes 25% 489.97 shares
- Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No 5.2% 100.27 shares
- Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes 97% 722.27 shares
- Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes 97.1% 287.48 shares