No position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $150.3
- Potential payout
- $246.4
- Potential profit
- $96.1
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $29.57
Polymarket Trader
xfm-1-6
0x69033e7dce8f5d8d8195cf02a700c6c38385cfba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $150.3
- Realized PnL
- $89.64
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.8
Yes position
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $42
No position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$11.4
Yes position
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$14.4
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34.34
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$43.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?No 46% 270 shares
- Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Yes 50% 280 shares
- Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Yes 35% 280 shares
- Databricks IPO before 2027?No 50% 180 shares
- Databricks IPO before 2027?No 48% 180 shares
- Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 31.8% 140 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.8% 60 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.9% 60 shares