Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $22.37
- Potential payout
- $24.44
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Polymarket Trader
Oakensage
0x690daa096c9ae2496301532fd5e9f582598758c0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.37
- Realized PnL
- $9.16
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
KRÜ Spark position
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs 9z Team (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Playoffs
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Trump say "Thank You" 8+ times during Fed chair announcement?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Nemiga position
Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 90% 24.44 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.6% 24.53 shares
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 99.9% 21.04 shares
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 99.8% 21.04 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 95% 22.91 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 96% 22.92 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 92.9% 23.6 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 93.2% 23.61 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.2% 22.61 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.3% 22.61 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 23.4 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 23.4 shares