Schowtrader

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.13K
Potential profit: $66.13K
User PnL: -$2.59K

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.11K
Potential profit: $50.11K
User PnL: -$826.89

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.96K
Potential profit: $47.96K
User PnL: -$2.99K

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.51K
Potential profit: $27.51K
User PnL: -$4.38K

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.93K
Potential profit: $19.93K
User PnL: -$697.38

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.51K
Potential profit: $11.51K
User PnL: -$242.05

Yes position

Will Apple be the most valuable company on October 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.45K
Potential profit: $6.45K
User PnL: -$76.49

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.73K
Potential profit: $2.73K
User PnL: -$128.93

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $2.31K
User PnL: -$8.06

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$9.4

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $8.31
Potential payout: $755.64
Potential profit: $747.33
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$127.7

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.49
Potential profit: $190.49
User PnL: -$3.37

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146
Potential profit: $146
User PnL: -$48.32

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.05
Potential profit: $25.05
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.05
Potential profit: $25.05
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.36
Potential profit: $20.36
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.36
Potential profit: $20.36
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.36
Potential profit: $20.36
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.36
Potential profit: $20.36
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.36
Potential profit: $20.36
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Israel not raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30 ET?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.79
Potential profit: $3.79
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.22
Potential profit: $3.22
User PnL: -$2.93

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14
Potential profit: $2.14
User PnL: -$1.09

No position

Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $1.75
User PnL: -$0.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.97K

No position

Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.28K

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.96K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.29

No position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.98

No position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

No position

Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.01

No position

Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.49

No position

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81

No position

Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.37

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3600 and $3700 on July 24 at 5PM ET?

Ends Jul 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Sunrisers Hyderabad position

Lucknow Super Giants vs. Sunrisers Hyderabad

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?

Ends Aug 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will the price of Solana be greater than $200 on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?