Polymarket Trader

Ahri

0x6913c428344ac11f48a193be77c6ebe5a304884d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $60.55
Realized PnL: $27.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 79°F or below on July 21?

Ends Jul 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
User PnL: -$1.45

Martin Landaluce position

Aix en Provence: Martin Landaluce vs Ethan Quinn

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.32
Potential profit: $19.32
User PnL: -$17

No position

Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.13
Potential payout: $6.13
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $5.38
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.26
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.26
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $5.06
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $4.6
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

US defaults on debt by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $4.21
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $4.03
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $4.04
Potential payout: $4.13
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $4.13
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.13

No position

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $1.1
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $3.14
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.19
Potential payout: $3.19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $3.16
Potential profit: $1.33
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$1.17

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $2.3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.98

Alina Charaeva position

La Bisbal: Xinyu Wang vs Alina Charaeva

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Solana Sierra position

Parma: Solana Sierra vs Carole Monnet

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Tamara Korpatsch position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Beatrice Ricci vs Tamara Korpatsch

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

"Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Kemi Badenoch next Conservative party leader?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

ALGO Esports position

Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs SINQU (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Jannik Sinner position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Trump send the national guard to New York City?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

No 96.7% 7.28 shares
Netanyahu out by June 30?

No 95% 8.33 shares
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?

No 99.4% 12.02 shares
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?

No 99.2% 12.59 shares
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?

No 99.5% 13.14 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 97.6% 16.4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 12?

No 99.9% 10,979.89 shares
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?

No 98.9% 552.61 shares
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?

No 99.1% 3,000 shares
Parma: Solana Sierra vs Carole Monnet

Solana Sierra 88% 12.5 shares
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 98.9% 2,740 shares
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 98.6% 1,099.42 shares