Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.04
- Potential payout
- $928.57
- Potential profit
- $922.54
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$6.96
Polymarket Trader
chocorette
0x692f38488d50dbb602243b9e92898392791b5537
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.46
- Realized PnL
- $48.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance say Trump 10+ times during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $453.33
- Potential profit
- $453.33
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will JD Vance say Patriot/Hero 4+ times during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will JD Vance say American Dream during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will JD Vance say Kash/Patel during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Bitcoin above $116.4K on August 17 at 8AM ET?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will JD Vance say Jesus during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will JD Vance say Radical/Extreme 2+ times during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will JD Vance say Trans/Transgender 3+ times during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $15.38
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.51
- Multiplier
- 12.58x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.68
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $9.62
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US strike Syria next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $8.2
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $6.58
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-09?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Mavericks position
Rockets vs. Mavericks
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines in 2025?
Ends Nov 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Natus Vincere position
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Up position
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
YZY market cap (FDV) <$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-12-14?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETUp 34% 2.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETUp 33% 3.03 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 1.4% 928.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETUp 71% 1.41 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 11.8% 1.19 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 94% 1.42 shares
- Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?No 98.7% 2.13 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No 96.2% 2.23 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 95% 1.05 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 83.4% 1.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown 91% 1.1 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 81% 1.23 shares