Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $239.51
- Potential profit
- $238.67
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$6.77
Polymarket Trader
pkoz2
0x693453f9194b34e80e6a614b49a0854a509a0aa7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $773.66
- Realized PnL
- $246.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
Ends Aug 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $6.4
- Potential payout
- $200.1
- Potential profit
- $193.7
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$16.61
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $162.98
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $37.02
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $5.98
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $96.42
- Potential payout
- $100.54
- Potential profit
- $4.12
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $12.97
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $76.72
- Potential payout
- $100.29
- Potential profit
- $23.57
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2.41
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $23
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $77
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.65
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $89.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $14.71
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $84.47
- Potential payout
- $99.97
- Potential profit
- $15.5
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $16.82
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $42.41
- Potential payout
- $99.78
- Potential profit
- $57.37
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$12.47
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $87.23
- Potential payout
- $99.69
- Potential profit
- $12.46
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $12.98
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $99.59
- Potential payout
- $99.64
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $55.4
No position
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.25
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$12.25
No position
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$17.25
No position
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$15.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$8.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$7.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$8.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$8.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$8.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$8.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$7.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.2
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.8
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.12
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.4
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.05
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.85
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No 55% 99.78 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 74.5% 99.69 shares
- US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?Yes 25.1% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 85% 404 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes 2.4% 516 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 83% 100.19 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes 3.1% 129.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes 3.1% 129.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 83% 100.19 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes 3.1% 129.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 83% 100.19 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 83% 100.19 shares