Polymarket Trader

EloraSmith

0x693506ada30de219e679ad5a08e8e3811b7727e0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $98.65
Realized PnL: $124.22
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $4.4
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.6
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$26.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $16.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $83.95
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 78.2%
Current value: $78.2
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $21.8
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $29.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $81
User PnL: -$9.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $81
User PnL: -$16.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $81
User PnL: -$9.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $81
User PnL: -$22.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$5.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$24.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$23.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.47

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will CZ post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 48.8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 13% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 30.6% 100 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 14?

No 99.4% 11.07 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 14?

No 99.6% 6.02 shares
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on June 14?

No 99.8% 15.03 shares
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 7?

No 99.9% 12.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 7?

Yes 99% 5.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 7?

No 99.8% 5.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 7?

No 99.8% 10.02 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 7?

Yes 99% 10.1 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Down 95% 10.53 shares