Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Current value
- $81.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $418.75
- Multiplier
- 6.15x
- User PnL
- $79.75
Polymarket Trader
william1102
0x69385ff72e302524f3195e6a4d96b5736af21eaf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $230.76
- Realized PnL
- $2.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $488
- Potential profit
- $488
- User PnL
- -$331.55
No position
Will Infinex launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $439.16
- Potential profit
- $439.16
- User PnL
- -$38.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $417
- Potential profit
- $417
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 23?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $406
- Potential profit
- $406
- User PnL
- -$12.3
Yes position
USDT depeg in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $335
- Potential profit
- $335
- User PnL
- -$1.01
No position
Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$9.99
No position
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $332
- Potential profit
- $332
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $324.95
- Potential profit
- $324.95
- User PnL
- -$11.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $306
- Potential profit
- $306
- User PnL
- -$4.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $305.99
- Potential profit
- $305.99
- User PnL
- -$7.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $287.99
- Potential profit
- $287.99
- User PnL
- -$6.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $286
- Potential profit
- $286
- User PnL
- -$4.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.99
- Potential profit
- $285.99
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $276
- Potential profit
- $276
- User PnL
- -$3.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $267.98
- Potential profit
- $267.98
- User PnL
- -$6.16
No position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 58.6%
- Current value
- $149.51
- Potential payout
- $255.36
- Potential profit
- $105.85
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $108.08
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $253
- Potential profit
- $253
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $251.97
- Potential profit
- $251.97
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Down position
XRP Up or Down on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $218
- Potential profit
- $218
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Down position
Solana Up or Down on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $218
- Potential profit
- $218
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Down position
Solana Up or Down on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.98
- Potential profit
- $217.98
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 13?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $582.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 8?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 7?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 16?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.38
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $74.02
Down position
XRP Up or Down on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.2
No position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.36
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.88
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.59
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.52
No position
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.06
Makhachev position
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 16?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.04
Yes position
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.94
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 4?
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.83
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Cavaliers
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.24
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.95
Yes position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.84
Raptors position
Raptors vs. 76ers
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.3% 332.99 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3.2% 36 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 2.2% 68 shares
- Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 28% 27.43 shares
- Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 29% 28.57 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 71.3% 100 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 72.2% 100 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 9% 50 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 9% 100 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?No 21% 9 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes 69% 94.5 shares
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 30% 75 shares