Polymarket Trader

Amateur-737

0x6939a066ae2039a45d8a0159935cb7a465187622

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.84
Realized PnL: $60.34
Win rate: 94.4%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump appoints special prosecutor for Epstein case by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $63.1
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump announce run for 3rd term?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.17
Potential profit: $51.17
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $3.41
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $32.3
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump sue over South Park episode?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $27.92
Potential profit: $26.46
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.61
Potential profit: $23.61
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Harvard international students ban ended by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.33
Potential profit: $23.33
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $3.96
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $15.04
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: $1.96

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.63
Potential profit: $14.63
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.41
Potential profit: $14.41
User PnL: -$2.45

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $13.79
Potential profit: $12.83
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$3.04

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in July?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $11.35
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$3.53

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.27

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

No position

US Treasury transactions on blockchain in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

Yes position

Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

No position

Will Trump say "Peace Through Strength" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Fed rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Eight War" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

No 83% 1.2 shares
Will Trump say "Movie star" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

No 75% 1.33 shares
Will Trump say "SAVE Act" or "SAVE America Act" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

No 79% 1.27 shares
Will Trump say "Women's Sport" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

No 81% 1.23 shares
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

No 78% 1.28 shares
Will Trump say "World Cup" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

No 80% 1.25 shares
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

No 75% 1.33 shares
Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

No 37% 2.7 shares
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

No 82% 1.22 shares
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?

No 78% 3.81 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Yes 27% 7.41 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 21.2% 4.72 shares