Polymarket Trader

fraewskyjak20

@fraewsky

0x6946306c528ff5d758cc910f6e1d2bdce6ae7dc6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $360.59
Realized PnL: $13.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Over position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$1.98K

Over position

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.51K
Potential profit: $3.51K
User PnL: -$2K

No position

Will Tesla deliver between 300000 and 325000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $242.07
Potential payout: $242.19
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $43.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $56.05
Multiplier: 2.28x
User PnL: -$25.05

No position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 86.9%
Current value: $74.57
Potential payout: $85.81
Potential profit: $11.24
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$2.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Hornets position

Bucks vs. Hornets

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09K

Magic position

Celtics vs. Magic

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91K

Georgia Southern position

Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66K

Knicks position

Grizzlies vs. Knicks

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $595.44

Warriors position

Mavericks vs. Warriors

Ends Nov 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $398.75

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $383.01

Grizzlies position

Grizzlies vs. Raptors

Ends Feb 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $272.99

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.84

Wizards position

Cavaliers vs. Wizards

Ends Feb 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $149.86

Eagles position

Commanders vs. Eagles

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.61

No position

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.35

Yes position

Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.83

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.97

Magic position

Pacers vs. Magic

Ends Nov 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.72

Heat position

Heat vs. Pacers

Ends Nov 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.54

No position

Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-03?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.02

Clippers position

Jazz vs. Clippers

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

No position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NBC interview?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Will Celtic win on 2025-02-12?

Ends Feb 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

No position

Will Trump say "DOGE" or "doge" during NBC interview?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will Trump say "Israel" during NBC interview?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will Trump say "Mexico" during NBC interview?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tesla deliver between 300000 and 325000 vehicles in Q2 2026

No 99.8% 242.19 shares
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

No 69% 100 shares
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 89.5% 12.51 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

No 80.4% 32.58 shares
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

No 96% 57.29 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?

No 97.9% 55 shares
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)

Nets 49% 25 shares
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5

Over 51% 25 shares
Cardinals vs. Cowboys

Cowboys 63% 1,000 shares
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-03?

No 90% 40 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 91.9% 30 shares
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

No 93.6% 16.33 shares