No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $3.46K
- Potential payout
- $3.54K
- Potential profit
- $88.62
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $139.28
Polymarket Trader
winelavkakz
0x6959d607aeac901f421b5001bc0028798e825575
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.88K
- Realized PnL
- $3.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$1.55K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $697.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $802.5
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$177.5
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $991.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- User PnL
- $41.5
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Current value
- $130.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $369.75
- Multiplier
- 3.84x
- User PnL
- -$303.87
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Current value
- $212.52
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $27.48
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $6.11
No position
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $185
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $182.42
- Potential payout
- $194.06
- Potential profit
- $11.64
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $129
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $107.57
- Potential profit
- $107.25
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.02
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $3.66
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.22
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.71
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.65
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.36
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.72
No position
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.9
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.52
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.61
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.34
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $82.5
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.43
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.01
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $71.36
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.98
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $64.18
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $57.13
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No 93.9% 194.06 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 99.9% 1,000 shares
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by June 30, 2026?No 95% 200 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 99% 499.97 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 92% 200 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.2% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 92% 800 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 57% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 57% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 61% 500 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No 96.1% 40 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No 96.2% 120 shares