Polymarket Trader

0x695a0fD98A9F0Eb90B2959E8fC4e59686e556Ee6-1775566314720

0x695a0fd98a9f0eb90b2959e8fc4e59686e556ee6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.77K
Realized PnL: $604.58
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $711
Potential payout: $18K
Potential profit: $17.29K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$230.04

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $1.95K
Potential payout: $17.5K
Potential profit: $15.55K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$858.03

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $1.79K
Potential payout: $17.5K
Potential profit: $15.71K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$150.87

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $4.02K
Potential payout: $17.5K
Potential profit: $13.48K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $883.74
Potential payout: $17.5K
Potential profit: $16.62K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $257.56

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $977.5
Potential payout: $17K
Potential profit: $16.02K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$398.75

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $3.42K
Potential payout: $16.5K
Potential profit: $13.08K
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $1.96K

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $920
Potential payout: $16K
Potential profit: $15.08K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$389.31

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $253.5
Potential payout: $13K
Potential profit: $12.75K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$66.38

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $108
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $7.89K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $183.75
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.32K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$27.23

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 90.3%
Current value: $778.32
Potential payout: $861.93
Potential profit: $83.61
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$41.8

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $230
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $170
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$4

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 76.9%
Current value: $153.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $46.3
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$11.1

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$39

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $17.5
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$5.5

No position

APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $94.1
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $5.9
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $91.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $8.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Ethereal FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $53.64
Potential payout: $77.75
Potential profit: $24.11
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$14.78

Yes position

APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 78.7%
Current value: $38.67
Potential payout: $49.17
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$6.61

No position

Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $8.86
Potential payout: $12.3
Potential profit: $3.44
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Arc FDV above $10B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $8.4
Potential payout: $11.2
Potential profit: $2.8
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$1.79

No position

APYX FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $9.6
Potential payout: $10.49
Potential profit: $0.89
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

Yes position

MegaETH FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.8

No position

GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 91.6%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $41.75

No position

Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.1

Yes position

Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 94.3%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $33

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.45

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $31.08

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.7

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.8

Yes position

Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.29

Yes position

Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.24

No position

Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.57

No position

Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.8

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.5

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.19

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 94.4%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $8.08

Yes position

Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $7.98

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 59%
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $7

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 73%
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $6.65

Yes position

Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 59% 200 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 5,000 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.5% 500 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 1,000 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.4% 500 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.2% 500 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13% 500 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 500 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21.5% 500 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

No 27% 40 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

No 65% 100 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

No 47% 60 shares