Polymarket Trader

0x6973...53ca

0x69730a4f80d4e6522768c8f555eaabd408cb53ca

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $777.53
Realized PnL: $347.5
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $17.59
Potential payout: $272.7
Potential profit: $255.11
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$98.34

No position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$17.1

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $14.18
Potential payout: $169.81
Potential profit: $155.63
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: -$39.14

Yes position

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $169.67
Potential profit: $169.58
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$51.73

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $130.07
Potential profit: $130.01
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$58.26

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.6%
Current value: $55.78
Potential payout: $122.46
Potential profit: $66.68
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $18.03

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $81.39
Potential payout: $96.32
Potential profit: $14.93
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $13.09

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $18.41
Potential payout: $91.39
Potential profit: $72.97
Multiplier: 4.96x
User PnL: -$22.8

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $48.56
Potential payout: $87.5
Potential profit: $38.94
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $56.64
Potential payout: $75.02
Potential profit: $18.38
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $64.88
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $10.13
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $17.88

No position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $65.62
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $9.37
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $17.78

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $74.82
Potential profit: $73.81
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$7.4

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.32
Potential profit: $66.32
User PnL: -$27.28

No position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $64.92
Potential payout: $65.34
Potential profit: $0.42
User PnL: $9.86

No position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $61.05
Potential payout: $63
Potential profit: $1.95
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.55

No position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $62.09
Potential payout: $62.12
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $33.27
Potential payout: $54.99
Potential profit: $21.72
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $10.02

No position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $3.19
Potential payout: $51.04
Potential profit: $47.85
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$22.84

No position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $45.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $4.75
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $14.5

No position

Will the Republican Party win the CA-51 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $47.83
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $2.17
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $11.23

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.68
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$13.11

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.85

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 74.7%
Current value: $35.41
Potential payout: $47.44
Potential profit: $12.03
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $8.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.2

No position

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.43

No position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.66

Yes position

Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.05

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.25

No position

Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.08

No position

Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

No position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Nashville SC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.22

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 59.6%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.4%
Multiplier: 2.48x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Samuel Forstag be the Democratic nominee for MT-01?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

No 9.5% 180 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 58% 25 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 42% 25 shares