Polymarket Trader

t4184831

0x69873514ce315224cfaa1a7241b8e4c99aebdfe9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $108.29
Realized PnL: -$0.02
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $43.99
Potential payout: $96.68
Potential profit: $52.69
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $7.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $35.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $4.4
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $16.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $2.4
Potential payout: $21.82
Potential profit: $19.42
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$7.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $9.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $10.9
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $17.2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2.8
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $4.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.96
Potential profit: $3.96
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 28?

Yes 47% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 27?

Yes 49% 45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 27?

Yes 50% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 27?

No 49% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?

Yes 39% 8.44 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 26?

No 58.2% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 26?

No 59% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?

Yes 39% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 23?

Yes 96% 1.04 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 23?

Yes 97.1% 1.03 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?

No 0.1% 1,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Up 51% 1.96 shares