No position
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $19.97
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Polymarket Trader
penelopehamilton
0x698d67cf6f0a4df7bcd5e61fa946a5efabff6aac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $42.82
- Realized PnL
- $21.58
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $7.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.15
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Verlina Reynolds-Jackson be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 27?No 98% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 26?No 98.2% 10 shares
- Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?No 99.9% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 25?No 99% 14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 24?No 99% 10 shares
- Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes 99.9% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 23?No 98% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 23?No 98.6% 10 shares
- Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes 90% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 22?Yes 99% 12 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes 99.9% 22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 21?No 99% 14 shares