Polymarket Trader

cdascedvd

0x698fcf815ca9982d3f81bb8d1224d9edb6166ca3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.5
Realized PnL: $607.36
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$29.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$13.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $79.5
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$13.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$65.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$33.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$27

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.8
Potential profit: $68.8
User PnL: -$14.9

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.4
Potential profit: $56.4
User PnL: -$19.74

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.32
Potential profit: $52.32
User PnL: -$9.94

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.68
Potential profit: $49.68
User PnL: -$9.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.16
Potential profit: $46.16
User PnL: -$14.95

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.76
Potential profit: $43.76
User PnL: -$19.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.73
Potential profit: $40.73
User PnL: -$22.01

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.87
Potential profit: $39.87
User PnL: -$4.99

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.68
Potential profit: $36.68
User PnL: -$9.9

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.31
Potential profit: $33.31
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.6
Potential profit: $27.6
User PnL: -$9.87

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.38
Potential profit: $22.38
User PnL: -$9.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.92

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.92

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.59

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 11% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 18% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 53% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 31% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 54% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 25% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 75% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 31% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 13.2% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 9.1% 100 shares