Polymarket Trader

0x6992D56559Dd30b5B5D0F5cA3D5427F9e94e6c1d-1760272837095

0x6992d56559dd30b5b5d0f5ca3d5427f9e94e6c1d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.8K
Realized PnL: $50.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $60.31
Potential payout: $120.63K
Potential profit: $120.57K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$553.31

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $33.68
Potential payout: $67.35K
Potential profit: $67.32K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$548.8

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.19K
Potential payout: $17.5K
Potential profit: $15.31K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$270.48

No position

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.8K
Potential profit: $15.8K
User PnL: -$690.1

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $631.93
Potential payout: $12.27K
Potential profit: $11.64K
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$129.8

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.71K
Potential profit: $9.71K
User PnL: -$3.3K

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $8.9K
Potential profit: $7.74K
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$3.32K

Yes position

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $335.77
Potential payout: $8.72K
Potential profit: $8.39K
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$744.51

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $504.66
Potential payout: $6.73K
Potential profit: $6.22K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$549.91

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $827.31
Potential payout: $5.09K
Potential profit: $4.26K
Multiplier: 6.15x
User PnL: -$674.44

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $648.01
Potential payout: $4.8K
Potential profit: $4.15K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$661.59

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $4.2K
User PnL: -$208

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $560
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.44K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$320

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $83.54
Potential payout: $3.71K
Potential profit: $3.63K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$854.93

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$654

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$102

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$462

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $44.83
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $2.14K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $9.84

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $17.85
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.08K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$38.69

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $50.78
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$400.64

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$330

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $803.31
Potential profit: $802.91
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.81

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $656.25
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $93.75
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $431.25

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$270

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.94K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32K

Yes position

Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.23K

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $3.4K

Yes position

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41K

Yes position

Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38K

Yes position

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $977.97

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $962

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $860.9

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $845.19

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $728

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 38% 584 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 16.4% 8.22 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 31.6% 3,721.33 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Yes 37.2% 750 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 27.9% 2,500 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 51% 57.33 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Yes 15% 1,600 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Yes 15% 5,000 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 0.5% 2,812.46 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Yes 8.6% 7,944.92 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 8.8% 21,073.03 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 12% 22,031.72 shares