Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $107.24
- Potential payout
- $467.29
- Potential profit
- $360.05
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $57.24
Polymarket Trader
SkinnyPenis
0x699dad97817c0b4586388a22845e19ce854b4260
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $189.55
- Realized PnL
- $2.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $48.16
- Potential payout
- $250.2
- Potential profit
- $202.04
- Multiplier
- 5.19x
- User PnL
- -$14.39
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $31.25
- Potential payout
- $89.29
- Potential profit
- $58.04
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $6.25
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $59.71
- Potential profit
- $56.82
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.28
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $198.74
Yes position
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.54
Yes position
Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.12
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
Yes position
Will $HAWK FDV be $30,000,000 or more one day after launch?
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.04
Oliveira position
Oliveira vs. Gamrot
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.08
Volkanovski position
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.86
3000 position
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.7
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.56
Yes position
Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?
Ends Jul 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.76
Yes position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.34
Los Heretics position
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Los Heretics (BO5)
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.86
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.72
Volkanovski position
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopes
Ends Apr 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.21
Pimblett position
Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblett
Ends Apr 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.75
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.63
Ansem position
Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $31.24
de Ridder position
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridder
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.51
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.62
Blues position
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?Yes 0.6% 29.41 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 28% 89.29 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Yes 0.8% 125 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?Yes 16% 62.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?Yes 98.5% 420.39 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?Yes 58.9% 163.45 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?Yes 55.7% 26.93 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?Yes 45.3% 220.93 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 98.5% 119.22 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?Yes 44% 9.09 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Justin Gaethje 20% 150 shares