Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
icebearmeow
0x69a56215d1f7b14858ec7d2e8d2f53830fae37b0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $130.98
- Realized PnL
- -$238.73
- Win rate
- 57.9%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $868.61
- Potential profit
- $868.61
- User PnL
- -$350
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $362.61
- Potential profit
- $362.61
- User PnL
- -$250
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $55.27
- Potential payout
- $276.33
- Potential profit
- $221.06
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$112.46
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $19.1
- Potential payout
- $224.75
- Potential profit
- $205.65
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$59.19
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.34
- Potential profit
- $214.34
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $192.31
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $168.37
- Potential profit
- $167.11
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.74
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $42.35
- Potential payout
- $148.65
- Potential profit
- $106.3
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$67.65
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $9.1
- Potential payout
- $82.71
- Potential profit
- $73.62
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$30.9
Yes position
Will Stanley Leavell be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.38
- Potential profit
- $67.38
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $2.58
- Potential payout
- $56.79
- Potential profit
- $54.2
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$7.42
Yes position
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $56.74
- Potential profit
- $56.71
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.76
- Potential profit
- $53.76
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.86
- Potential profit
- $42.86
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.8
- Potential profit
- $42.8
- User PnL
- -$16.69
Yes position
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.9
- Potential profit
- $40.9
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $28.41
- Potential profit
- $27.34
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.93
No position
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.1
- Potential profit
- $27.1
- User PnL
- -$26.02
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.58
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$4.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.41
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $67.92
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.36
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.44
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.43
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$43.15
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will another company be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$53.06
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$87.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$99.13
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$132.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 7% 42.86 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Yes 27.2% 29.42 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Yes 12% 833.33 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes 58% 172.41 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?No 39% 42.8 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 49.2% 203.28 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No 68% 147.06 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 39.7% 503.5 shares