Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.19K
- Potential payout
- $912.39K
- Potential profit
- $909.19K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$6.76K
Polymarket Trader
blackbelt
0x69ac33d71d0d09e638d178e6148c6ea4d28b7b99
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.66K
- Realized PnL
- $19.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $25.78
- Potential payout
- $10.31K
- Potential profit
- $10.29K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$25.78
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $21.85
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.28K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $9.05
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $163.36
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $168.59
- Potential payout
- $170.72
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $18.41
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.78
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$9.78
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $15.43
- Potential payout
- $33.92
- Potential profit
- $18.49
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$4.57
Yes position
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $30.02
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $23.24
- Potential payout
- $26.87
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $5.24
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.9%
- Current value
- $20.45
- Potential payout
- $25.29
- Potential profit
- $4.84
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $10.45
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $20.36
- Potential payout
- $22.5
- Potential profit
- $2.14
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.36
No position
Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $20.9
- Potential payout
- $21.52
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $19.47
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $6.76
- Potential payout
- $14.08
- Potential profit
- $7.32
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.24
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $3.47
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $10.42
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.53
No position
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $11.07
- Potential payout
- $13.42
- Potential profit
- $2.35
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $10.19
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $10.53
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $9.27
- Potential payout
- $11.3
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $10.32
- Potential payout
- $10.98
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $10.38
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Stripe IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $10.11
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $10.28
- Potential payout
- $10.86
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5K
Yes position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $885.38
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $825.48
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $685.31
Pyfer position
Gastelum vs. Pyfer
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $570.66
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $467.5
Topuria position
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $371.99
Yes position
Will anyone say "iPhone" 100+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?
Ends Sep 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.92
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324.86
Pistons position
Heat vs. Pistons
Ends Nov 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.45
Jones position
Jones vs. Miocic
Ends Nov 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.48
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.79
No position
Will anyone say "M5" during Apple launch event on September 9?
Ends Sep 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.75
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.03
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?
Ends Aug 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.97
No position
US military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.31
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.91
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.55
Magomedov position
Magomedov vs. Petrosyan
Ends Oct 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.62
No position
Will Spurs vs. Ipswich end in a draw?
Ends Nov 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.6% 11,555 shares
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 2,000 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.8% 172.41 shares
- Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?No 89% 5.62 shares
- Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?No 74.5% 13.42 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?No 96.8% 10.33 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No 49% 20.41 shares
- Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?No 95% 5.26 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.6% 80.32 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94.7% 21.12 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94.7% 52.8 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94.6% 52.84 shares