Yes position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $338.19
- Potential payout
- $676.37K
- Potential profit
- $676.03K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$49.15K
Polymarket Trader
Themsnw
0x69c5c6f6a4dda665991c203bc8d5df3e006b1e01
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.95K
- Realized PnL
- $619.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $25.43K
- Potential payout
- $242.17K
- Potential profit
- $216.75K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$17.65K
United States position
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.25K
- Potential profit
- $99.25K
- User PnL
- -$37.5K
Argentina position
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.49K
- Potential profit
- $79.49K
- User PnL
- -$50.99K
France position
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.86K
- Potential profit
- $63.86K
- User PnL
- -$37.68K
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.75K
- Potential profit
- $49.75K
- User PnL
- -$25K
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.7%
- Current value
- $5.51K
- Potential payout
- $43.57K
- Potential profit
- $38.06K
- Multiplier
- 7.91x
- User PnL
- $47.15
Over 3.5 position
Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.87K
- Potential profit
- $42.87K
- User PnL
- -$32.61K
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.91K
- Potential profit
- $41.91K
- User PnL
- -$4.13K
Flavio Cobolli position
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fery
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.74K
- Potential profit
- $35.74K
- User PnL
- -$10K
Conor McGregor position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71K
- Potential profit
- $35.71K
- User PnL
- -$10K
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.14K
- Potential profit
- $35.14K
- User PnL
- -$13K
Los Angeles Dodgers position
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.03K
- Potential profit
- $33.03K
- User PnL
- -$25K
Elise Mertens position
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.71K
- Potential profit
- $32.71K
- User PnL
- -$5K
Grigor Dimitrov position
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Fery
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.8K
- Potential profit
- $31.8K
- User PnL
- -$18.87K
France position
Spread: France (-2.5)
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.77K
- Potential profit
- $30.77K
- User PnL
- -$2K
Yes position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $4.63K
- Potential payout
- $29.86K
- Potential profit
- $25.23K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$4.76K
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $25K
- User PnL
- -$10K
Karolina Muchova position
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.29K
- Potential profit
- $23.29K
- User PnL
- -$3.5K
Yes position
Michael Olise: 1+ goals
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83K
- Potential profit
- $20.83K
- User PnL
- -$5K
France position
Spread: France (-2.5)
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$3K
England position
Spread: England (-1.5)
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.41K
- Potential profit
- $18.41K
- User PnL
- -$3K
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $39.5
- Potential payout
- $15.8K
- Potential profit
- $15.76K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$585.73
Yes position
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16K
- Potential profit
- $13.16K
- User PnL
- -$5K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
New York Yankees position
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.59K
Karolina Muchova position
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.9K
New York Yankees position
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.77K
New York Yankees position
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.52K
Norway position
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.03K
San Diego Padres position
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41K
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.28K
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.03K
England position
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.45K
Arizona Diamondbacks position
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.18K
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.76K
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.17K
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.58K
Flavio Cobolli position
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.34K
Alexander Zverev position
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.91K
Egypt position
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.89K
Yes position
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.89K
Over position
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.08K
Spain position
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.04K
Los Angeles Dodgers position
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.87K
Zverev position
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95K
Paddy Pimblett position
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36K
Over position
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96K
Matteo Berrettini position
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Fils
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance 59% 63,857.59 shares
- Spread: France (-2.5)France 6.5% 30,769.23 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes 14.2% 4,355.25 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes 12% 10,111.58 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes 13.5% 14,831.61 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?Yes 2.7% 111,296.81 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes 19.6% 50,948.4 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes 10.9% 7,338.23 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 38.9% 48,395.33 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes 13.4% 3,722.07 shares
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers 75.7% 33,030.19 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes 15.7% 31,762.57 shares