No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.72K
- Potential profit
- $33.72K
- User PnL
- -$227.87
Polymarket Trader
Akvyr
0x69c96d22e1be6f6cd9fa32bb45f5fd5b7b423b29
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.05K
- Realized PnL
- $16.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.43K
- Potential profit
- $18.43K
- User PnL
- -$1.97K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $624.89
- Potential payout
- $8.75K
- Potential profit
- $8.13K
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- $19.49
Yes position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $391.65
- Potential payout
- $5.22K
- Potential profit
- $4.83K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$853.7
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.53
- Potential payout
- $5.06K
- Potential profit
- $5.05K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$22.47
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $2.38K
- Potential payout
- $4.62K
- Potential profit
- $2.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $3.23K
- Potential payout
- $3.82K
- Potential profit
- $592.21
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $30.83
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $237.28
- Potential payout
- $2.62K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.58K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- User PnL
- -$226.99
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $795.69
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $63.79
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $604.39
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $738.69
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$428.61
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $68.76
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 16.95x
- User PnL
- -$21.23
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $962.71
- Potential payout
- $963.19
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- User PnL
- $112.71
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.84
- Potential profit
- $909.84
- User PnL
- -$270
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $385
- Potential payout
- $885.05
- Potential profit
- $500.05
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$125
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.1
- Potential profit
- $833.1
- User PnL
- -$167
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $604.55
- Potential payout
- $698.91
- Potential profit
- $94.35
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $4.55
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $689.58
- Potential profit
- $689.58
- User PnL
- -$550
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $659.3
- Potential profit
- $659.3
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $210.53
- Potential payout
- $610.4
- Potential profit
- $399.87
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$84.48
No position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $576.49
- Potential profit
- $576.49
- User PnL
- -$532
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $132.49
- Potential payout
- $519.57
- Potential profit
- $387.08
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$67.51
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.9%
- Current value
- $422
- Potential payout
- $515.57
- Potential profit
- $93.58
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $437.77
- Potential profit
- $437.77
- User PnL
- -$110
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $766.59
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $674.23
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $632.66
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Multiplier
- 9.71x
- User PnL
- $493.72
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $492.86
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.06
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.1
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.96
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $374.49
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.38
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.21
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.25
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 90 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.75
Yes position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.32
Yes position
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.65
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $238.5
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.26
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.69
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 0.1% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 83% 60.27 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 43% 116.28 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes 7.5% 669.4 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 30% 33.33 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 46% 43.48 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 42% 71.43 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 50% 200 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes 7% 428.57 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 43% 46.51 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes 96% 285 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 68% 73.53 shares