alex421

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $687.67
Potential profit: $687.67
User PnL: -$661.55

No position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $630.07
Potential payout: $658.04
Potential profit: $27.97
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $5.1

Vici Gaming position

Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $630
Potential profit: $630
User PnL: -$430.25

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $409.59
Potential profit: $409.59
User PnL: -$189.97

Gen.G position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $387.79
Potential profit: $387.79
User PnL: -$244.4

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $52.39
Potential payout: $374.18
Potential profit: $321.79
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $29.93

Yes position

Concrete FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $217.53
Potential payout: $334.66
Potential profit: $117.13
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$13.39

Yes position

Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $258.22
Potential payout: $328.94
Potential profit: $70.72
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $11.51

No position

Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $108.99
Potential payout: $320.57
Potential profit: $211.58
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $41.67

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274.99
Potential profit: $274.99
User PnL: -$179.24

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $247.2
Potential profit: $247.2
User PnL: -$215.53

EDward Gaming Youth Team position

LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.99
Potential profit: $219.99
User PnL: -$136.79

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.08
Potential profit: $200.08
User PnL: -$10.84

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.76
Potential profit: $175.76
User PnL: -$8.8

Yes position

Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $12.22
Potential payout: $162.99
Potential profit: $150.77
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$11.07

Gen.G position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145
Potential profit: $145
User PnL: -$105.1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.25
Potential profit: $141.25
User PnL: -$26.4

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.79
Potential profit: $140.79
User PnL: -$39.58

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.09
Potential profit: $134.09
User PnL: -$13.25

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $118.24
Potential payout: $127
Potential profit: $8.76
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $909.73

No position

Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $589

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on May 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $462.16

Yes position

Ethereum all time high before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $445

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $389.48

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.55

No position

MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.31

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.45

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.2

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.77

No position

Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.15

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.56

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.79

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.36

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.7

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.93

No position

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.36

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.74

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.6

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 26?