Polymarket Trader

0x69e2d5EAE6cFdacE90eb45A78561223a67E16208-1762885373006

0x69e2d5eae6cfdace90eb45a78561223a67e16208

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $338.58
Realized PnL: $921.15
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $27.34
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $2.16K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$7.66

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $73.18
Potential payout: $720.95
Potential profit: $647.78
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: -$6.82

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $7.85
Potential payout: $581.65
Potential profit: $573.8
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$17.15

Golden Knights position

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $510.42
Potential profit: $510.42
User PnL: -$245

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $495.06
Potential profit: $495.06
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $26.59
Potential payout: $470.59
Potential profit: $444
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$13.41

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $113.46
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $271.15
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $13.46

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310.57
Potential profit: $310.57
User PnL: -$180

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $11.57
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $274.14
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$8.43

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $5.81
Potential payout: $211.39
Potential profit: $205.57
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$44.19

Michael Chandler position

UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206.25
Potential profit: $206.25
User PnL: -$33

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $72.78
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $38.33
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $42.78

Aiemann Zahabi position

UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.35
Potential profit: $104.35
User PnL: -$24

Kyle Daukaus position

UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.7
Potential profit: $103.7
User PnL: -$28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.17

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.76

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.88

Yes position

Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.85

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.55

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.38

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.29

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.28

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Hurricanes position

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Ciryl Gane position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Conor Daly win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Scott McLaughlin win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Josef Newgarden win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 27% 111.11 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 2,187.5 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 6.7% 495.06 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 8% 1,000 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 21% 328.57 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 21% 51.19 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ciryl Gane 54% 92.59 shares
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Golden Knights 48% 510.42 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 13% 153.85 shares
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Yes 22.8% 197 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 36% 416.67 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 36% 97.22 shares