No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $30.63
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.23
Polymarket Trader
0x69e9...c86a
0x69e9ce2ffa006b2ce6dafeb03b215537c91fc86a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $66.66
- Realized PnL
- $176.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $18.48
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.52
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $3.55
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.12
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.28
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.55
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.85
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.58
Yes position
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.38
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.88
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.02
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79
No position
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
No position
Will MrBeast attend UFC Freedom 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes 86.5% 10 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?Yes 8.8% 65 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?Yes 7.8% 65 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 30?No 47% 5 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 10 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 52% 25 shares
- Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?Yes 16% 10 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 7% 17 shares
- Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.2% 10 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 44% 5 shares
- Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No 92.9% 1.9 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 79.3% 24.99 shares