No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $28.1
- Potential payout
- $32.3
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Polymarket Trader
0x6A12D69BF3487c2b1ACCd70Ae337d45edB8D9fff-1782885927921
0x6a12d69bf3487c2b1accd70ae337d45edb8d9fff
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $71.17
- Realized PnL
- $4.64
- Win rate
- 88.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $22.08
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $14.39
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $6.59
- Potential payout
- $6.9
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C or higher on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 15?No 99.9% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 15?No 91.3% 16.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 15?No 92.3% 16.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 15?No 76% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 15?No 99.9% 38.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 16?No 97% 23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 15?No 97.7% 38.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 15?No 99.5% 18.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 15?No 99.1% 42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on July 15?No 97.8% 6.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 15?No 94% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 15?No 92% 22 shares