Polymarket Trader

0x6A1526f887Ef120098eBB1CA2d3e50047A0745Be-1771414469288

0x6a1526f887ef120098ebb1ca2d3e50047a0745be

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.65
Realized PnL: $1.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $4.62
Potential payout: $615.56
Potential profit: $610.94
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212.77
Potential profit: $212.77
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.55
Potential profit: $143.55
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.38
Potential profit: $115.38
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.72
Potential profit: $110.72
User PnL: -$4.76

Yes position

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.67
Potential profit: $109.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.14
Potential profit: $107.14
User PnL: -$18

No position

Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.84
Potential profit: $106.84
User PnL: -$4.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.92
Potential profit: $102.92
User PnL: -$49.22

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.75
Potential profit: $93.75
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.87
Potential profit: $92.87
User PnL: -$0.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.68
Potential profit: $91.68
User PnL: -$19.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.34
Potential profit: $84.34
User PnL: -$39.38

Yes position

Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.75
Potential profit: $78.75
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.3
Potential profit: $69.3
User PnL: -$4.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.72
Potential profit: $65.72
User PnL: -$3.81

Yes position

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.93
Potential profit: $60.93
User PnL: -$9.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.5
Potential profit: $60.5
User PnL: -$19.76

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $9.03
Potential payout: $59.05
Potential profit: $50.01
Multiplier: 6.54x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$5.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.22
Potential profit: $55.22
User PnL: -$29.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.12
Potential profit: $52.12
User PnL: -$5.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.3

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 250 shares
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 18.2% 109.67 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 29% 100 shares
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

No 0.4% 45.45 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 13.5% 37.04 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 32% 62.5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 32% 31.25 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Down 19% 6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Up 75% 35.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Up 28% 17.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Up 28.2% 17.76 shares