N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $3.54
- Potential payout
- $172.73
- Potential profit
- $169.19
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$149.69
Polymarket Trader
fbfbbff
0x6a1bf022fd6937009378eef63613f565a1142671
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.54
- Realized PnL
- $28.83
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.38
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.66
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.51
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.11
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$10.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 88.9% 59.96 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 88.9% 9.05 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83% 151.61 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 96% 127.48 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?No 99.9% 122.5 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?No 92% 57.63 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?No 90.5% 53.02 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 98.7% 48.64 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?No 94% 64.87 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 73.1% 83.42 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 96.7% 55.47 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 91.7% 58.4 shares