No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $165.93
- Potential payout
- $166.18
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $1.64
Polymarket Trader
779t.
0x6a2a7ac439d3226c37d8896b4ef915c183212009
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $180.14
- Realized PnL
- $10.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.69
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.69
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Suns
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.77
- Potential profit
- $4.77
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $3.58
- Potential payout
- $3.59
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.94
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.94
Knicks position
76ers vs. Knicks
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Spurs position
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Suns
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Wizards
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Kings
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Pistons position
Nets vs. Pistons
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Warriors
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will XRP reach $4.00 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.7% 59.18 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 91% 7.69 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 68% 2.94 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.9% 20.02 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 92% 10.87 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?No 99.9% 12.01 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No 99.8% 25.05 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?No 99.7% 122.19 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No 99.9% 26.02 shares
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 99.9% 12.01 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 99.9% 13.01 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No 99.9% 17.08 shares