Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Polymarket Trader
Davidbill
@DavidBilek9
0x6a2f0438131fb53ade99442ead13558eece87105
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.53K
- Realized PnL
- $2.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $631.09
- Potential profit
- $631.09
- User PnL
- -$25.12
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $498
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $395.44
- Potential payout
- $413.21
- Potential profit
- $17.77
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $366
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $34
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $377.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $22.2
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.4
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $211.72
- Potential payout
- $219.29
- Potential profit
- $7.57
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $192.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $7.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $194
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $129.38
- Potential payout
- $140.1
- Potential profit
- $10.72
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $28.49
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $71.51
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$19.51
No position
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $93.44
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $6.55
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $34.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $15.26
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $9.24
No position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.55
Yes position
Luca Zidane: 4+ saves
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.75
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will Atalanta qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.96
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Andrew Pemberton win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $4.77
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $490.71
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.16
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.69
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.66
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.7
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.29
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.18
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.8
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.35
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.04
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.4
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.28
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.39
No position
Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.99
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.94
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.66
Yes position
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.5
No position
Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by March 31?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.95
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.79
Yes position
Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes 92% 40.1 shares
- Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes 90.8% 100 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 97.8% 173.64 shares
- Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes 90.6% 100 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?No 96.4% 219.29 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?No 97.5% 300 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Yes 99.8% 700 shares
- Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?No 99.4% 297 shares
- Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?No 99.3% 200 shares
- Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?No 99.2% 200 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?No 97.5% 200 shares
- Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 2,000 shares