Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $541.8
- Potential payout
- $8.4K
- Potential profit
- $7.86K
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$466.2
Polymarket Trader
DanyBedard
0x6a34c678c59525a3b84437d911a0dc0cafaa47e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.74K
- Realized PnL
- $12.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $6.46K
- Potential profit
- $5.33K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $446.49
No position
Another Canada election called by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $5.69K
- Potential payout
- $5.73K
- Potential profit
- $37.26
- User PnL
- $850.68
No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.81K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $195
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $2.83K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $172.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $177.5
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.35K
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $247
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $169
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$742.5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$570
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $709.85
- Potential payout
- $780.06
- Potential profit
- $70.21
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $63.2
No position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$385
Yes position
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.97
- Potential profit
- $499.97
- User PnL
- -$334.98
Yes position
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $307.51
- Potential payout
- $492.01
- Potential profit
- $184.5
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $53.35
Oilers position
Oilers vs. Ducks
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $197.12
- Potential profit
- $197.12
- User PnL
- -$102.5
Yes position
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $149.07
- Potential payout
- $160.72
- Potential profit
- $11.65
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $6.03
No position
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $113.05
- Potential payout
- $133
- Potential profit
- $19.95
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $3.99
Down position
Canada's population Up or Down this year?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $52.64
- Potential payout
- $69.26
- Potential profit
- $16.62
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $15.24
Yes position
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $2.64
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $30.36
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $24.77
- Potential payout
- $27.68
- Potential profit
- $2.91
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $24.4
- Potential payout
- $25.3
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- Multiplier
- 7.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Canada recession before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $993.97
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $936.9
Yes position
Canada election called before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $817.63
No position
Another Canada election called in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $695.22
Yes position
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $673.33
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $658
Yes position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $508.46
Yes position
Trump meets with Carney before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $465.95
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $420.35
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.87
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.86
Yes position
Will Mark Carney talk to Trump by Friday?
Ends May 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.37
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $256.47
Yes position
Will the PPC win 0 seats in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.93
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.04
No position
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.55
No position
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.91
Yes position
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.22
No position
Will Mark Carney lose his seat?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.01
Yes position
US-China trade deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225
No position
Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.71
No position
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August?No 86% 14.34 shares
- Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 17% 149.59 shares
- Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 52% 314.6 shares
- Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 16% 110 shares
- Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 15% 112.91 shares
- Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August?No 85% 13.34 shares
- Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?Yes 89% 115.27 shares
- Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?Yes 67% 5 shares
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No 87% 18.76 shares
- Canada recession before 2027?Yes 62% 80.23 shares
- Canada recession before 2027?Yes 48% 137.03 shares
- Canada recession before 2027?Yes 45% 31.87 shares