Polymarket Trader

alpaje

@XoxGenerat24388

0x6a3c02feca0009871db79f9dea6ffd3ab98f2db9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $28.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$100

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14K
Potential profit: $7.14K
User PnL: -$337.4

No position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.6K
Potential profit: $3.6K
User PnL: -$35.77

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $2.95K
User PnL: -$29.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $1.62K
User PnL: -$21.87

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$39.27

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$113.33

Yes position

Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
User PnL: -$38.96

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$147.49

No position

Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.42K
User PnL: -$300

SC Freiburg position

Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$55.75

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$72.91

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$24.97

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$133.09

Yes position

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.32K
User PnL: -$29.61

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$6.55

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$66.07

No position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$174.99

No position

Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
User PnL: -$52.43

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$19.21

No position

Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$175

Over position

France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$16.61

No position

Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$18.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.52K

Yes position

UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51K

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

Yes position

Will Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $122,000 on October 7?

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

No position

Will Trump say "Mr. Speaker" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $909.45

No position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $736.59

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $711.44

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $513.31

Yes position

Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $419.22

Yes position

Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $394.39

Yes position

Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352.12

Yes position

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $269.09

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.83

Yes position

Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.37

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $121.62

Yes position

Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.12

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.17

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.02

Yes position

Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5

Over 10% 284.7 shares
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5

Over 1.6% 1,062.07 shares
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 100,000 shares
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Yes 27.9% 332.18 shares
Kenan Yıldız: 1+ goals

Yes 19% 813.95 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals

No 52.6% 375.02 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

No 5.1% 1,295.49 shares
Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5

Over 21% 685.86 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 3.2% 2,968.75 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 26.5% 773.58 shares
Spread: Germany (-2.5)

Curaçao 12.7% 409.86 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

No 1% 3,597.5 shares