Polymarket Trader

arsenalbrasuca

0x6a4bde2a3c29e1b07bfdd4faf5fd693330d508ab

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $68.32
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

Yes position

Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.2

South Dakota position

St. Thomas - Minnesota vs. South Dakota

Ends Feb 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.73

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Multiplier: 5.95x
User PnL: $9.13

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 90.8%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.21

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.2

South Dakota position

St. Thomas - Minnesota vs. South Dakota

Ends Feb 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.73

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Multiplier: 5.95x
User PnL: $9.13

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 90.8%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.21

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

Yes position

Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will 'Snow White' gross more than 49m on opening weekend?

Ends Mar 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84.6%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.58x
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be 44°F or below on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80.3%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 14-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 14% 318 shares
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 13.5% 318 shares
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 11.5% 24 shares
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 11.5% 161 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 96.8% 64 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Yes 3.5% 10 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Yes 3.7% 306 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.7% 192 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.7% 655 shares
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 95.4% 84 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 88.6% 164 shares
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes 1.6% 172 shares