Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $233.23
- Potential payout
- $373.17
- Potential profit
- $139.94
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$25.09
Polymarket Trader
nimble7415
0x6a4c54eead9100ff8e003cf3bec40b9cf20b02da
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $483.47
- Realized PnL
- -$416.15
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $159.91
- Potential payout
- $343.9
- Potential profit
- $183.99
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$44.32
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $90.32
- Potential payout
- $334.54
- Potential profit
- $244.21
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$9.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.27
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$499.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 59.6% 91.05 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 25.9% 192.69 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 70% 83.31 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 35.2% 141.84 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 69% 289.86 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 59.3% 252.85 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?No 93.8% 106.62 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 98% 51.6 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 2% 2,528.64 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 84% 514.01 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 17% 294.12 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 18% 277.78 shares