Polymarket Trader

Vangata

0x6a660f0788267ed3c0fc4b237a32ecd3a394f9a9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.25
Realized PnL: $62.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.32
Potential profit: $70.32
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $34.24
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $32.9
Potential profit: $32.56
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $4.46
Potential payout: $32.68
Potential profit: $28.22
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $9.29
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $10.74
Potential profit: $10.18
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.28
Potential profit: $10.28
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $6.09
Potential payout: $7.04
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

X Money released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.85
Potential profit: $6.85
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $6.41
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$1.95

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $5.91
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $3.69
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $1.86
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $3.31
Potential payout: $5.47
Potential profit: $2.16
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $5.17
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$2

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.92
Potential profit: $3.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $3.86
Potential profit: $3.23
Multiplier: 6.15x
User PnL: -$0.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.57

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.4%
Multiplier: 4.67x
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 3+ times during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?

No 58% 3.45 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 18?

No 24% 3.44 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 18?

No 58% 3.45 shares
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?

No 47% 2.12 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?

Down 48% 2.17 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?

Down 46% 2.17 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 81% 2.08 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 48% 2.08 shares
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?

No 24% 4.17 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 15?

Yes 40% 2.63 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 96.7% 3.07 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 15?

Yes 38% 2.63 shares