Polymarket Trader

ToastGato

0x6a70050e907b6be5457d9681a14e4d2f4a3a18f0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.02K
Realized PnL: $11.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $345
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$214.98

Yes position

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $499.98
Potential payout: $799.96
Potential profit: $299.99
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$61.99

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $268.16
Potential payout: $541.73
Potential profit: $273.57
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$78.55

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $450.8
Potential payout: $515.2
Potential profit: $64.4
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$12.88

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$449.75

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $330.73
Potential payout: $449.98
Potential profit: $119.24
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $270
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $130
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$86

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $321.28
Potential payout: $355
Potential profit: $33.73
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$1.78

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $243.12
Potential payout: $349.86
Potential profit: $106.74
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $222.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $27.75
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $64.38
Potential payout: $103
Potential profit: $38.63
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $4.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $701.23

Yes position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $660.04

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $522.54

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $522.02

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470.94

Oh My God position

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $429.89

LYON position

LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 4 Winner

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.12

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405

Nongshim Esports Academy position

LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $397.97

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming position

LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $336.27

Over position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 4 Winner

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.55

FURIA Esports position

LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffs

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252

DRX position

LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 3 Winner

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.79

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.38

No position

Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.8

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.5

No position

Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 58% 103 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 91% 55 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 91% 300 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 90% 515.2 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 64% 541.73 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 76% 40.19 shares
Fight to Go the Distance?

No 44% 50 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Sean OMalley 78% 150 shares
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Hurricanes 99.9% 130 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Derrick Lewis 5% 250 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 82.1% 47.38 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 21% 250 shares