Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $61.16
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$38.83
Polymarket Trader
0x7eb553adF89d6f30eFDAdc6DB68E925dfDF321A7-1764672391572
0x6a8673d81282e26023c5b9130f17a6d7ccba8a9a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $752.79
- Realized PnL
- $266.74
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $144.44
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$55.55
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $72.22
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$27.78
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $331.21
- Potential payout
- $907.41
- Potential profit
- $576.21
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $31.21
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $87.5
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $745.83
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $370.37
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $56.25
- Potential payout
- $362.91
- Potential profit
- $306.66
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$43.75
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.9
- Potential profit
- $243.9
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $221.15
- Potential profit
- $221.15
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 833.33 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 9% 1,111.11 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes 3.5% 2,858.14 shares
- JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Yes 9% 2,222.22 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 10% 1,000 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 45.2% 221.15 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 27.6% 362.91 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 4.9% 2,055.71 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 33.1% 907.41 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 25% 400 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 41% 243.9 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 27% 370.37 shares