Polymarket Trader

Gubbers

0x6a8bd7bbc39710ca3a13004d6f230f8e4fa7a7c1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.13
Realized PnL: $203.73
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Starmer out by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.29
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $51.67
Potential profit: $50.97
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $35.47
Potential profit: $35.21
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.78
Potential profit: $32.78
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.78
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.3
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.49
Potential profit: $19.49
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $17.61
Potential profit: $16.53
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bernie say "Tariff" in Maine?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Political Stunt" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.85
Potential profit: $11.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $2.83
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $8.28
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will Bernie say "ICE" 5+ times in Maine?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5
Potential profit: $10.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $10.02
Potential profit: $8.87
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.25
Potential profit: $9.25
User PnL: -$3

Cavaliers position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $8.93
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goals

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ballroom" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.87

Yes position

Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.31

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will Trump say "Saudi Arabia" during today's Iftar Dinner?

Ends Mar 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.79

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Yes position

Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during his University of Alabama commencement speech?

Ends May 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.11

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.56

No position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?

Ends May 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.01

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81

Capitals position

Capitals vs. Blue Jackets

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.79

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami GP pole?

Ends May 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

India x Pakistan military clash before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.29

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 70m on opening weekend?

Ends Apr 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07

Yes position

Will Donald Trump sign 30 or more executive orders in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Trump say "White farmer" during events with South African President on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

Yes position

Will Trump say "Saint Patrick" during his presser with Ireland PM?

Ends Mar 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

No position

Will the General Services Administration be most efficient on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59

Nuggets position

Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33

Yes position

Will Trump say "Deficit" during tariff event on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will Nico Hulkenberg finish in 3rd place at the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.03

Nuggets position

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Portugal vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 26% 3.85 shares
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Portugal vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 35% 2.86 shares
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Portugal vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 51% 1.96 shares
Will the announcers say "Long ball" during the Portugal vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 77% 1.3 shares
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Portugal vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 71% 1.41 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?

Yes 18% 11.11 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 73% 6.63 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 43% 2.33 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 42% 2.38 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Yes 71% 1.41 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 95% 0.55 shares