Polymarket Trader

calvinkaho

0x6a944e6ade26cb35c10d83d7f4db09941819b59f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $983.11
Realized PnL: $1.19K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $447.49
Potential payout: $7.4K
Potential profit: $6.95K
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$202.5

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$510

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$108

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$101.5

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 12?

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$525

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $57.54
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$42.45

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$170

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $770
Potential profit: $769.62
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$49.67

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699.96
Potential profit: $699.96
User PnL: -$49

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $37.29
Potential payout: $659.97
Potential profit: $622.68
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$61.71

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$105

Portugal position

Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $294.64
Potential payout: $436.51
Potential profit: $141.86
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$5.36

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420
Potential profit: $420
User PnL: -$50.4

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.46
Potential profit: $288.46
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Portugal to score first vs. Colombia?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.08
Potential profit: $196.08
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Uruguay to score first vs. Spain?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $172.41
User PnL: -$50

Under position

Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $49.17
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $117.5
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $34.85
Potential payout: $162.09
Potential profit: $127.24
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$15.15

Yes position

Portugal leading at halftime?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $48.75
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $76.25
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$1.25

Over position

Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $92.59
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $561

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $399.2

Under position

Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.53

Portugal position

Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73

Under position

Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.49

Under position

Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

Yes position

Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5

Under 30% 166.67 shares
Portugal leading at halftime?

Yes 40% 125 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Portugal 68.7% 436.51 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 1,724.14 shares
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5

Over 54% 92.59 shares
Portugal to score first vs. Colombia?

Yes 51% 196.08 shares
Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Over 30.8% 86 shares
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5

Under 66% 94.33 shares
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5

Under 79% 96.82 shares
Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Under 53.1% 606.06 shares
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Over 57.6% 86.79 shares
Uruguay to score first vs. Spain?

Yes 29% 172.41 shares