Polymarket Trader

michael26

0x6a958bcc67ef9d775d9d1b651fbcd749139d821f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $149.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

Yes position

Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.83

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Mar 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.77

No position

Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.81

No position

Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.38

No position

Will "Conclave" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.35

No position

Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 13-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.83

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Mar 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.77

No position

Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.81

No position

Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.38

No position

Will "Conclave" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.35

No position

Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 13-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Yes position

Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.27

Yes position

Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.91

Yes position

Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76

No position

Will "The Wild Robot" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.58

Yes position

Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.36

Yes position

Will "Anora" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

No position

Will Real Madrid win La Liga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

No position

Bitcoin all time high by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

TikTok sale announced before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 28 - April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 Masters?

Ends Apr 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Was JFK assassination an inside job?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Yes 5.1% 46.27 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Yes 5.4% 47.59 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

No 96.4% 5.3 shares
Will a dozen eggs be between $5.25-5.50 in May?

No 99.9% 5.11 shares
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?

No 99.1% 113.43 shares
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?

No 99.2% 113.43 shares
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?

No 99.1% 106.04 shares
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?

No 99.9% 2.49 shares
Will Solana reach $300 in May?

No 99.9% 13.79 shares
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?

No 99.2% 106.05 shares
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 23–30?

No 99.7% 3.31 shares
Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?

No 99.6% 122.01 shares